REAL ESTATE AND MORTGAGE WATCH

National housing trends

Average Home Price

August: The national (non-seasonally adjusted) average home price in August 2025 was $664,078, up 1.8% year-over-year.

Month-over-month, prices were relatively flat compared to July 2025.

Home sales

August: Seasonally adjusted home sales in August 2025 rose to 43,276 units, marking a 1.1% increase from July.

On a year-over-year (unadjusted) basis, sales increased by 1.9%.

Regional housing market highlights

Nova Scotia

Latest data show home prices reaching record levels, with modest year-over-year gains (e.g. ~2.0%)

Alberta

Home prices in Alberta have been among the stronger performers, with positive annual growth (e.g., ~5%+ in some reports).

Ontario / Greater Toronto Region

April 2025 average selling price in the Toronto region was $1,107,463, down ~4.1% from a year earlier.

TREB (Toronto region)

The MLS® Home Price Index Composite Benchmark in Greater Toronto was down ~5.4% year-over-year.

OREB (Ottawa region)

In April 2025, new residential listings numbered ~2,589 (a 3.8% decline y-o-y), while active listings stood at ~3,834 units — a ~21.4% increase from April 2024.

Mortgage Rate Trends

Bank of Canada Rate

August: As of August 2025, the Bank of Canada had maintained its target overnight rate at 2.75% (prior to the cut in September).

On September 17, 2025, the Bank cut the rate to 2.50%

Mortgage rates

August: As of the August timeframe, the prime rate stood at 4.95% (will be adjusted downward after the rate cut).

According to the Bank of Canada “posted interest rates” tables, 5-year fixed posted rates by major chartered banks were around 2.90% (though consumer-offer rates will typically be above the posted rates) in that period.

Advertised (consumer) mortgage offers from BMO, RBC etc. show 5-year fixed specials in the 4.4-5.0% region depending on terms, credit, and discounts.

Price Forecast

August: CREA continues to project the national average home price to decline ~1.7% in 2025, to $677,368.

CMHC’s summer update suggests home prices could fall ~2% in 2025, particularly with downside pressure in Ontario and British Columbia.

Many mortgage rate forecasters expect further rate cuts through late 2025, potentially pushing policy rate toward ~2.25%.

Economic Indicators

GDP Growth

Inflation

August: As of August 2025, Canada’s CPI was ~1.9%; trimmed CPI was ~3.0%, and median CPI ~3.1%.

Housing Inventory

Ex. There were 183,000 properties listed for sale on all Canadian MLS® Systems at the end of April 2025, up 14.3% from a year earlier but still below the long-term average for that time of the year.

Housing Market News

CREA describes the April 2025 housing market as entering a “transition period,” with sales flat month-over-month, ending a string of declines.

Source: Global News
CREA describes the April 2025 housing market as entering a “transition period,” with sales flat month-over-month, ending a string of declines.
Source: REM+3YouTube+3CREA+3
Reuters reported that Canadian home sales in March 2025 were among the weakest for the month since 2009, with sales down ~9.3% year-over-year.
Source: Reuters

Board Reports & Indexes

Content for this page is dedicated to presenting detailed reports and indexes from reputable real estate boards and associations. Potential content could include board reports from relevant companies, housing market indexes, national statistics, and other authoritative information that reflects broader market trends and forecasts.

CREA / National-Level

  • CREA’s home sales in Canada saw continued strength: seasonally adjusted sales in August reached 43,276 units, up 1.1% from July.
  • On an unadjusted (year-over-year) basis, August sales were higher by about 1.9% compared to August 2024
  • CREA’s Home Price Index (HPI) declined ~0.1% month-over-month in August, and was down ~3.4% year-over-year.
  • The national average (unadjusted) selling price rose ~1.8% year-over-year in August.
  • CREA has revised its 2025 forecast downward: the latest expected total home sales for 2025 is ~469,503 units, a ~3% decline from 2024.
  • The average price forecast remains a decline of ~1.7%, targeting $677,368 in 2025.

Toronto / Greater Toronto Area — TRREB

From TRREB’s August update:

  • Home Sales (GTA, August 2025): 5,211 transactions, +2.3% compared to August 2024.
  • New Listings (GTA, August 2025): 14,038 properties, +9.4% year-over-year.
  • Average Selling Price (GTA, August 2025): $1,022,143, down ~5.2% year-over-year.
  • MLS® HPI Composite Benchmark (GTA, August 2025): down ~5.2% y-o-y.
  • Month-to-month trends: Seasonally adjusted prices and HPI in August were essentially flat versus July.
  • Additional insights: TRREB published housing market charts for August 2025 covering affordability, price, listings, and sales trends.

Other Boards & Regions

  • Toronto (City-wide): In August 2025, the average house price across the Toronto MLS® area was $1,021,505.
  • CREA’s Monthly Snapshot / Stats Portal: CREA’s stats portal notes that home sales in July increased ~3.8% month-over-month (used as partial lead indicators).
  • Some provincial or board-level August statistics (e.g. from OREB, Alberta, Nova Scotia) were not yet published or publicly available as of the time of search.